Unusual movement screener

Q: What does market magnitude measure?

It measures how unusual a closed hourly price move is compared with the same instrument’s past hourly moves. It does not predict direction.

Q: Is M 3 a trading signal?

No. M 3 marks an unusually large move in the historical sample. A rare move can continue, reverse, or remain flat.

Q: How are the stop and target calculated?

The levels use ATR(24), a measure of recent hourly price range. Historical frequencies describe how often similar cases reached each level.

Q: What are similar cases?

They are past closed hourly moves of the same instrument and direction, selected using information available at that time. The current event is never included in its own comparison.

Q: When is an outcome known?

The event page updates as later hourly candles close. A reply appears 24 calendar hours after the event candle closes. If the market was closed or data is late, it shows the observed candles and marks unverified results as incomplete.

Q: Can I receive personal notifications?

The public Telegram channel posts eligible M 3 events. In @tlap_club_bot you can choose markets, instruments, a minimum magnitude and outcome notifications.

Verified rare hourly movements from closed TLAP candles.

Updated 01/10/2026, 17:10 UTC

How to read a card. Magnitude measures movement rarity. The entry plan explains whether to chase it. Stops and targets show price levels and historical probabilities. These are statistics of past movements, not a trade recommendation. The decision and risk are yours. The snapshot is frozen one minute after the H1 close; the outcome follows 24 calendar hours later. Missing candles are explicitly marked.

M: <3 noticeable · 3–5 rare · 5–7 very rare · ≥7 extreme

Now 9 notable moves over 24 h

🔥 Where it is hot magnitude over 24 h · pick an instrument

BTC+0.05%calmover 24 h ETH-0.09%calmover 24 h SOL-0.20%calmover 24 h XRP-0.38%calmover 24 h DOGE-0.56%M 3.207:00–08:00 PAXG-0.17%calmover 24 h EURUSD-0.11%M 5.115:00–16:00 GBPUSD-0.07%calmover 24 h USDJPY+0.12%calmover 24 h Gold-0.17%M 4.7Wed 30/09, 17:00–18:00 Silver-0.07%calmover 24 h WTI+0.71%M 3.606:00–07:00 Nasdaq 100-0.02%M 3.607:00–08:00

Events over 24 h

15:00–16:00 UTC · EURUSDwaiting for a retracement-0.29% · M 5.1 14:00–15:00 UTC · EURUSDtarget reached in hour 1 · observation continues to 24 h-0.27% · M 5.1 10:00–11:00 UTC · EURUSDstop hit+0.23% · M 5.1 07:00–08:00 UTC · Nasdaq 100target reached in hour 7 · observation continues to 24 h-0.56% · M 3.6 07:00–08:00 UTC · DOGEretraced to the midpoint after 4 h — planned entry-1.57% · M 3.2 06:00–07:00 UTC · WTItarget reached in hour 1 · observation continues to 24 h+1.47% · M 3.6 04:00–05:00 UTC · Goldstop hit+0.82% · M 3.6 03:00–04:00 UTC · WTIstop hit-1.26% · M 3.6 Wed 30/09, 17:00–18:00 UTC · Goldretraced to the midpoint after 10 h — planned entry-0.95% · M 4.7

calm3–5 rare5–7 very rare≥7 extreme

Strongest move over 24 h

5.1M

very rare

EURUSD ▼ Fall

Forex · largest in 15 d · 2.1×ATR

#169 hourly move of EURUSD in 2 years

-0.29%

hour 15:00–16:00 UTC · 1.1233

Elapsed 1 hwaiting for a retracementThe provider later revised EURUSD data for this hour; this card shows the values at publication, as in Telegram.favourable 1.1 ATR · against 0.8 ATRretracement deadline 03:00 UTC

Observation continues; result after 24 h.

No rush: in 79% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.1249).

In 79% of similar cases the price pulled up to 1.1249 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (42% vs 26%).

normal hour 0.14%this movement 0.29%

Levels from statistics · after a down move from 1.1233

Stop1.1296 (+0.56%) 4 ATRhit in 26% of similar cases

No reliable target1.1201 (−0.28%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 42% of similar cases

ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.14% ≈ 0.0016. History: 98 similar movements, without lookahead.

Other stops and targets

Level	Price and %	Range	Probability
Stop	1.1249 (+0.14%)	1 ATR	88%
Stop	1.1265 (+0.28%)	2 ATR	65%
Stop	1.1280 (+0.42%)	3 ATR	44%
Stop	1.1296 (+0.56%)	4 ATR	26%
Stop	1.1328 (+0.85%)	6 ATR	10%
Target	1.1201 (−0.28%)	2 ATR	42%
Target	1.1185 (−0.42%)	3 ATR	28%
Target	1.1170 (−0.56%)	4 ATR	15%
Target	1.1138 (−0.85%)	6 ATR	10%

Position size

Account currencyAccount, ₽Risk per trade, %

At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0189 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0063 (0.56%).

Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.

Similar moves

14:00–15:00 UTC · -0.27% · M 5.1 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -0.60% · M 7.3 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.

Largest over 24 h: EURUSD M 5.1 · EURUSD M 5.1 · EURUSD M 5.1 · Gold M 4.7 · Nasdaq 100 M 3.6

Last 30 days 83 24-h outcomes with M ≥ 3 · 60 with complete data

Midpoint retracement

67%

over a day

Stop survived

57%

recommended level

Target reached

47%

recommended level

Broad movements

77%

several instruments in one hour

Time	Instrument	Movement	M	Recommendation	Outcome	Retracement	Stop	Target	Max. favourable / adverse	+24 h
30/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC	3 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.7	▲ +1.88%	4.7	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.3 / 5.2 ATR	-1.09×
30/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC	Gold	▲ +0.83%	3.2	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 9 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	✗	?	0.0 / 5.6 ATR	-1.77×
30/09, 04:00–05:00 UTC	Gold	▲ +0.93%	3.2	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 12 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	✗	?	0.5 / 4.4 ATR	-0.81×
29/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC	USDJPY	▼ -0.30%	4.5	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 3 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.	✓	✓	✓	3.4 / 1.9 ATR	+0.41×
28/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC	WTI	▼ -2.02%	4.0	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 11 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 48 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	?	✓	2.9 / 1.6 ATR	+1.31×
28/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC	USDJPY	▲ +0.26%	3.7	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✓	✗	0.6 / 2.1 ATR	+0.05×
28/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC	XRP	▲ +1.98%	3.7	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR	Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 3 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	1.9 / 3.2 ATR	+0.81×
28/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC	Gold	▼ -0.73%	4.4	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 61 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✗	?	✓	4.7 / 0.1 ATR	+2.13×
28/09, 01:00–02:00 UTC	Gold	▼ -1.14%	4.9	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 63 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✗	?	✓	5.5 / 0.1 ATR	+1.68×
28/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC	USDJPY	▲ +0.24%	3.6	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.2 / 4.7 ATR	-1.19×
27/09, 22:00–23:00 UTC	USDJPY	▲ +0.20%	3.5	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.9 / 4.3 ATR	-0.73×
27/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC	SOL	▲ +2.30%	4.3	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.8 / 6.3 ATR	-2.12×
25/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC	USDJPY	▼ -0.30%	3.8	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 7/24 h, last candle 140 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	?	?	0.3 / 1.8 ATR	-0.57×
25/09, 11:00–12:00 UTC	XRP	▲ +2.22%	3.3	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR	Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 3 ATR not reached.	✓	✓	✗	1.8 / 2.5 ATR	-1.26×
24/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC	WTI	▼ -1.96%	3.5	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 144 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	?	✓	2.8 / 1.2 ATR	+1.18×
23/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC	2 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.3	▼ -2.99%	4.6	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.	✗	✓	✓	2.8 / 0.3 ATR	+0.64×
22/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC	XRP	▲ +2.96%	4.4	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 3 ATR not reached.	✓	✓	✗	2.7 / 2.1 ATR	-0.28×
22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC	2 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.0	▼ -0.36%	3.9	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 7 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.	✓	✗	✓	2.1 / 4.2 ATR	-1.25×
22/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC	DOGE	▲ +3.04%	5.2	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✓	✗	1.6 / 2.0 ATR	+0.65×
21/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC	4 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.7	▲ +2.50%	3.7	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.	✗	✓	✓	7.3 / 0.1 ATR	+1.18×
21/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC	Gold	▼ -1.06%	4.1	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 4 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 225 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	?	✓	2.3 / 1.6 ATR	+0.94×
20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC	4 instruments broad movement, M up to 3.2	▼ -1.74%	3.2	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 13 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.6 / 8.6 ATR	-1.95×
18/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC	XRP	▲ +2.87%	3.7	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 3 ATR reached.	✓	✓	✓	3.7 / 2.0 ATR	+0.94×
18/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC	4 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.7	▲ +2.60%	5.7	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.	✗	✓	✓	3.7 / 0.0 ATR	+0.62×
18/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC	2 instruments broad movement, M up to 6.1	▲ +0.40%	3.2	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 7 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 13/24 h, last candle 308 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	?	?	1.9 / 3.0 ATR	-0.95×
18/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC	USDJPY	▲ +0.27%	3.0	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 18/24 h, last candle 308 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✗	?	✓	6.0 / 0.6 ATR	+0.59×
16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC	7 instruments broad movement, M up to 7.3	▼ -2.07%	7.2	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 7 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.	✓	✗	✓	2.4 / 6.0 ATR	-0.88×
16/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC	2 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.1	▲ +0.95%	4.1	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 16 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.	✓	✗	✓	3.4 / 7.1 ATR	-1.11×
15/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC	3 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.5	▼ -1.25%	4.0	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 24 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✓	✗	1.8 / 1.1 ATR	+0.39×
14/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC	XRP	▲ +2.97%	3.8	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 3 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	1.1 / 11.3 ATR	-3.46×
11/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC	4 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.5	▲ +4.71%	5.5	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	1.5 / 5.1 ATR	-0.69×
11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC	5 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.5	▲ +1.29%	4.5	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.	✓	✓	✓	4.6 / 2.9 ATR	-0.69×
10/09, 20:00–21:00 UTC	Gold	▼ -1.11%	3.3	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 9 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 476 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	✗	?	1.2 / 4.1 ATR	-0.64×
10/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC	2 instruments broad movement, M up to 4.3	▼ -1.92%	4.3	after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.5 / 5.9 ATR	-2.08×
09/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC	Nasdaq 100	▼ -0.56%	4.3	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 4 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 511 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	?	?	0.8 / 2.3 ATR	-0.04×
09/09, 04:00–05:00 UTC	XRP	▲ +1.38%	4.1	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 3 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 3 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.7 / 4.4 ATR	-2.41×
09/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC	Gold	▲ +1.36%	4.1	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 520 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✗	?	✓	3.5 / 0.6 ATR	+0.60×
08/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC	USDJPY	▼ -0.41%	3.1	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✓	✗	2.0 / 1.3 ATR	0.00×
07/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC	USDJPY	▼ -0.70%	5.9	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.	✗	✓	✓	4.5 / 1.0 ATR	+0.27×
05/09, 17:00–18:00 UTC	DOGE	▲ +7.04%	7.8	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.	✓	✗	✗	0.6 / 6.8 ATR	-0.76×
04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC	5 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.2	▼ -2.18%	5.1	after a down move · stop 4 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.	✗	✓	✗	1.3 / 0.7 ATR	-0.14×
03/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC	4 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.0	▲ +2.17%	5.0	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 22 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.	✓	✗	✓	3.5 / 3.8 ATR	-0.93×
02/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC	2 instruments broad movement, M up to 5.7	▲ +1.12%	4.2	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.	✗	✓	✓	5.5 / 1.0 ATR	+1.65×
02/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC	WTI	▲ +1.41%	3.4	after an up move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR	Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 688 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.	✓	✗	?	0.3 / 4.4 ATR	-1.00×

How Market Magnitude works

Market Magnitude compares the latest closed hourly candle with the history of the same instrument. A larger M means that a move of this size or greater has been seen less often. The number describes rarity, not a forecast: after a sharp rise the next candle may rise again, fall, or barely move. The screen keeps currencies, crypto, metals, oil and indices separate so that a percentage move in one market is not silently treated as equivalent to another.

The card separates observation from a possible plan. It shows the measured move, the time of the closed candle, the previous price and the current magnitude. The stop and target are distances from a stated entry, expressed in ATR(24). ATR summarizes recent hourly ranges and adapts a distance to the instrument’s volatility. A level is not a promise that an order will fill there; spreads, gaps and execution costs are outside this historical calculation.

The probabilities come from similar past cases for the same instrument and direction. The comparison uses only data that existed before each historical event, avoiding a preview of later candles. Sample size matters: a percentage from a small group is less stable than one from hundreds of observations. Open the event page to inspect the sample, assumptions, levels and the actual subsequent candles rather than reading one percentage as a guarantee.

The public history retains events and their outcomes. Later hourly candles show whether the price returned to the midpoint, touched a stop or reached a target. A separate reply appears after 24 calendar hours; missing candles leave unobserved results unconfirmed. On quiet days there may be no eligible events.

Market Magnitude deliberately gives no buy or sell direction. Its job is to make an unusual movement measurable and to show what happened in comparable cases. Your account size, leverage, costs and risk tolerance are not known to this tool. Use the stop calculator for a price of your own and treat every displayed frequency as historical context, not individual investment advice.

Frequently asked questions

What does market magnitude measure?

It measures how unusual a closed hourly price move is compared with the same instrument’s past hourly moves. It does not predict direction.

Is M 3 a trading signal?

No. M 3 marks an unusually large move in the historical sample. A rare move can continue, reverse, or remain flat.

How are the stop and target calculated?

The levels use ATR(24), a measure of recent hourly price range. Historical frequencies describe how often similar cases reached each level.

What are similar cases?

They are past closed hourly moves of the same instrument and direction, selected using information available at that time. The current event is never included in its own comparison.

When is an outcome known?

The event page updates as later hourly candles close. A reply appears 24 calendar hours after the event candle closes. If the market was closed or data is late, it shows the observed candles and marks unverified results as incomplete.

Can I receive personal notifications?

The public Telegram channel posts eligible M 3 events. In @tlap_club_bot you can choose markets, instruments, a minimum magnitude and outcome notifications.

Records largest moves · “Share” opens an image

All records →

Magnitude of the week

EURUSD · M 5.1

-0.27% in one hour · 01/10/2026 14:00 UTC

Magnitude of the month

EURUSD · M 5.1

-0.27% in one hour · 01/10/2026 14:00 UTC

Magnitude of the year

USDJPY · M 8.4

-1.97% in one hour · 30/07/2026 13:00 UTC

Hottest hour of the week

30/09/2026 12:00 UTC

sum of M 9.4 · BTC 4.7, SOL 4.7 · 30/09/2026 12:00 UTC

Current calm

PAXG · 358 h

without a notable move · #4 longest this year · 01/10/2026 17:10 UTC

Calmest day of the year

Fri, 12/06/2026

average bar magnitude 1.02 · Fri, 12/06/2026

Player predictions the “Will it retrace?” game · the table lists players with 10+ resolved predictions

Magnitude measures hourly movement rarity: 2·log₁₀(hours since the last movement at least as large). 3 means once a day, 5 once every two weeks, 7 once a year. Stops and targets use ATR(24); outcomes are verified against prior events of the same instrument and direction without lookahead. Live candles come from the unified TLAP PostgreSQL service. This screener does not recommend a trade direction and is not investment advice.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.