WTI rose 1.41% in one hour on 02/09/2026 — what followed

WTI: event 02/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC, up move +1.41%, magnitude 3.4, ATR(24) 0.76%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.4M
rare
WTI ▲ Rise
Oil · largest in 2 d · 1.9×ATR
#349 hourly move of WTI in 2 years
+1.41%
hour Wed 02/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · 92.04
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 713 hstop hitfavourable 0.3 ATR · against 4.4 ATR

Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 689 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

No rush: in 78% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (91.39).

In 78% of similar cases the price pulled down to 91.39 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (54% vs 32%).

normal hour 0.76%this movement 1.41%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 92.04
Stop89.94 (−2.27%) 3 ATRhit in 32% of similar cases
Target93.43 (+1.51%) 2 ATRreached in 54% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.76% ≈ 0.70. History: 165 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop91.34 (−0.76%)1 ATR75%
Stop90.64 (−1.51%)2 ATR51%
Stop89.94 (−2.27%)3 ATR32%
Stop89.25 (−3.03%)4 ATR16%
Stop87.85 (−4.54%)6 ATR5%
Target93.43 (+1.51%)2 ATR54%
Target94.13 (+2.27%)3 ATR37%
Target94.82 (+3.03%)4 ATR25%
Target96.22 (+4.54%)6 ATR13%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00573 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 2.09 (2.27%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.