Bitcoin Rainbow Chart — BTC Zones, Cycles and ZigZag Scenario

What the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart shows

The Bitcoin Rainbow Chart combines the daily BTC price, nine logarithmic price zones, factual TLAP cycle highs/lows and a conditional ZigZag scenario. Its outer edges are defined by five H highs and five L lows. In x = ln(days since the genesis block) and y = log10(price), each edge is one monotone cubic curve that passes exactly through all five anchors. History and the future section share one geometry with no separate formula after the current date.

How the 5H/5L corridor and BTC price zones are built

• Blue shades (“basically a fire sale”, “buy”, “accumulate”) — price well below the long-term curve. Historically these levels appeared at bear-market bottoms.
• Green shades (“still cheap”, “HODL”) — price near the curve, the market is in line with its historical trend.
• Yellow and orange (“is this a bubble?”, “FOMO intensifies”) — price above the curve, the market is heating up.
• Red shades (“sell”, “maximum bubble territory”) — an extreme departure from the trend, where cycle tops have historically occurred.

The red edge passes through H1–H5, the blue edge through L1–L5, and eight internal lines divide the corridor evenly in log10(price). After H5 and L5 both sides continue with one shared tangent, so the rainbow narrows smoothly without twisting or acquiring a new future slope. Hovering shows the date, factual BTC price, model value, zone and scenario range; the current real-price point is shown separately.

How the neural-like ZigZag scenario is calculated

The similarity model uses only the two latest completed cycles; the first and all earlier cycles are excluded before calculation. The two analogues are compared by shape, momentum, drawdowns and turns, then their relative paths are combined as a weighted log-price mean. No single past cycle is copied into the future. The light-blue contour starts at the current factual price, marks projected highs/lows through H5 and, after every calibration, obeys 5L ≤ low ≤ centre ≤ high ≤ 5H: its range cannot leave the rainbow.

TLAP cycles, Altseason and halvings on one chart

The Tlap Cycle Theory layer marks factual H maxima with green points and L minima with red points; the true L1 is fixed to 14 January 2015 near $178. H5 becomes the fifth upper anchor and the first projected low after it becomes L5. Green Tlap-Altseason fields mark observed periods when at least 75% of tracked altcoins outperformed BTC over 90 days. Halving lines include the event number, date, block height and reward reduction.

Which data updates online

Price and scenario data stream from /api/rainbow, calculated on TLAP daily BTC closes; the detailed chart and homepage card update with that source. Separate APIs refresh the Altseason index and cycle high/low layer. The lower-right close-up shows the current price, H5 target, factual white segment and the same light-blue scenario contour with green highs and red lows.

Model limitations and investment risk

The rainbow and ZigZag scenario do not predict the future. This is deterministic similarity to past cycles, not a trained neural network, price guarantee or trading signal. Correlations can fail, future markets can leave the historical regime, and H5/L5 can change as new data arrives. The zones describe price location inside a historically fitted corridor. This page is informational and is not individual investment advice.