New US measures against Iran have created a case for precautionary dollar demand, but a flat DXY and persistent fiscal concerns suggest that the market has not yet embraced a broad USD rally.
Bitcoin is defending its post-rally range as traders weigh liquidity expectations, a softer dollar, regulatory hopes, and stubborn resistance near $78,500. The next move will show whether demand can carry BTC toward $80,000 or merely sustain a period of consolidation.
The Russian equity market remains under pressure despite record Sberbank dividends. Oil uncertainty, new European restrictions, and a stronger ruble are limiting the scope for a sustained recovery.
Bitcoin and Coinbase surged as political encouragement from the White House met improving financial conditions. The rally is significant, but legislation, bond yields, and price retention will determine whether it lasts.
The MOEX Russia Index has gained more than 7% over the past month, but its position near 2,147–2,148 points does not yet confirm a durable recovery. Interest rates, the ruble, and oil-market conditions remain the decisive variables.
Brent is reflecting renewed concern about the Strait of Hormuz, while WTI’s softer daily move shows that oil traders have not embraced a single bullish narrative. The next phase depends on supply evidence, diplomacy, monetary policy, and demand.
Bitcoin and Ether are posting a modest daily recovery, but ETF outflows, regulatory delays, weak retail demand, and dollar risk are keeping the market from turning a bounce into a convincing trend.
The Federal Reserve’s July pause did not close the door on further tightening. Mixed inflation signals, disagreement within the FOMC, and upcoming PPI and PCE releases leave the September decision open, while the dollar index trades at 99.67, down 0.29% for the day.
The Russian equity market is searching for stability after a sharp sell-off. The IMOEX corridor of 2,200–2,300 points, corporate results, geopolitical signals, and a weaker ruble now form the central framework for assessing whether a durable rebound is possible.
Gold is holding above $4,400 as softer inflation pressure and renewed inflows into Western gold ETFs strengthen the rally. The path toward $5,000 remains plausible but depends on producer-price data, Federal Reserve expectations, and continued investor demand.
Brent remains close to the psychologically important $90 level as shipping risks around the Strait of Hormuz preserve a geopolitical premium, even though both major crude benchmarks are slightly lower today.
The SEC is preparing to vote on launching a major rulemaking process for digital assets. For altcoins, this is a step toward greater certainty, but the initiative's impact will depend on token classification, disclosure requirements, compliance costs, and the transition period.
While all currencies remain stationary, Gold has begun to move, and the price reached the first resistance at 4366,19. There is no visible reaction to it yet, but we may begin a downward correction.
Gold is trading at 4 399 USD per ounce and gaining 1.35% for the day: safe-haven demand amid uncertainty surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has coincided with anticipation of US inflation data.
In GBPUSD, following Friday's news, the price failed to set a new high above 1,3505. It is logical to expect further price growth, but I think there will be a downward correction.
English-language crypto YouTube still views the market rather positively, but confidence has become conditional. The discussion centers on Bitcoin's disputed bounce, SOL's relative strength, ETH resistance, the development of onchain finance, and selective rotation into altcoins.
Russian stocks ended the week higher in ruble terms, but currency revaluation pulled the RTS Index down. We examine whether dividend cash, expensive oil, and ruble stabilization can keep the MOEX Index within the 2200–2300-point range.
The dollar is cautiously strengthening ahead of the US jobs report, while USD/JPY balances between interest rates and intervention risk, and EUR/USD tests buyers' patience below the 1.1560–1.1565 zone.
The EURUSD pair, like all major currencies, remained in the same place for a week. The price is moving within the 1.1528 FVG, and a downward correction is likely.
Daily currency market roundup: a weak dollar helps EUR/USD, while USD/JPY remains under pressure from rates, intervention signals, and expectations from the Bank of Japan.
On the NZDUSD pair, we swept the highs at 0.5863 and got stuck below the 0.5887 level. Above, we have another nice set of equal highs at 0.5994, which look like an excellent target for buys.
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