WTI rose 1.47% in one hour on 01/10/2026 — what followed
WTI: event 01/10, 06:00–07:00 UTC, up move +1.47%, magnitude 3.6, ATR(24) 0.82%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcome
3.6M
rareWTI ▲ Rise
Oil · largest in 3 d · 1.8×ATR
#307 hourly move of WTI in 2 years
+1.47%
hour 06:00–07:00 UTC · 90.86
Elapsed 11 htarget reached in hour 1 · observation continues to 24 hfavourable 2.8 ATR · against 0.5 ATR
Observation continues; result after 24 h.
No rush: in 78% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (90.19).
In 78% of similar cases the price pulled down to 90.19 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (54% vs 32%).
normal hour 0.82%this movement 1.47%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 90.86
Stop88.62 (−2.46%) 3 ATRhit in 32% of similar cases
Target92.35 (+1.64%) 2 ATRreached in 54% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.82% ≈ 0.75. History: 166 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 90.11 (−0.82%) | 1 ATR | 75% |
| Stop | 89.37 (−1.64%) | 2 ATR | 51% |
| Stop | 88.62 (−2.46%) | 3 ATR | 32% |
| Stop | 87.88 (−3.28%) | 4 ATR | 17% |
| Stop | 86.38 (−4.93%) | 6 ATR | 5% |
| Target | 92.35 (+1.64%) | 2 ATR | 54% |
| Target | 93.10 (+2.46%) | 3 ATR | 37% |
| Target | 93.84 (+3.28%) | 4 ATR | 25% |
| Target | 95.34 (+4.93%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00535 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 2.24 (2.46%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Wed 02/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · +1.41% · M 3.4 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 689 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.