XRP rose 2.22% in one hour on 25/09/2026 — what followed

XRP: event 25/09, 11:00–12:00 UTC, up move +2.22%, magnitude 3.3, ATR(24) 1.36%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.3M
rare
XRP ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 2 d · 1.6×ATR
#508 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
+2.22%
hour Fri 25/09, 11:00–12:00 UTC · 1.5913
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 150 hretraced to the midpoint after 3 h — planned entryThe provider later revised XRP data for this hour; this card shows the values at publication, as in Telegram.favourable 1.8 ATR · against 2.5 ATR

Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 3 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 66% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.5736).

In 66% of similar cases the price pulled down to 1.5736 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 3 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (51% vs 25%).

normal hour 1.36%this movement 2.22%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 1.5913
Stop1.5261 (−4.09%) 3 ATRhit in 25% of similar cases
Target1.6565 (+4.09%) 3 ATRreached in 51% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.36% ≈ 0.0217. History: 171 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop1.5696 (−1.36%)1 ATR69%
Stop1.5479 (−2.73%)2 ATR43%
Stop1.5261 (−4.09%)3 ATR25%
Stop1.5044 (−5.46%)4 ATR14%
Stop1.4610 (−8.19%)6 ATR4%
Target1.6347 (+2.73%)2 ATR62%
Target1.6565 (+4.09%)3 ATR51%
Target1.6782 (+5.46%)4 ATR39%
Target1.7216 (+8.19%)6 ATR27%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 184 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0652 (4.09%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.