XRP rose 2.80% in one hour on 18/09/2026 — what followed

XRP: event 18/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC, up move +2.80%, magnitude 3.7, ATR(24) 0.98%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.7M
rare
XRP ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 3 d · 2.8×ATR
#282 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
+2.80%
hour Fri 18/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · 1.3612
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 316 htarget reached in hour 1favourable 6.6 ATR · against 0.0 ATR

Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 3 ATR reached.

No rush: in 67% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.3421).

In 67% of similar cases the price pulled down to 1.3421 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 3 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (51% vs 25%).

normal hour 0.98%this movement 2.80%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 1.3612
Stop1.3210 (−2.95%) 3 ATRhit in 25% of similar cases
Target1.4014 (+2.95%) 3 ATRreached in 51% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.98% ≈ 0.0134. History: 169 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop1.3478 (−0.98%)1 ATR69%
Stop1.3344 (−1.97%)2 ATR43%
Stop1.3210 (−2.95%)3 ATR25%
Stop1.3076 (−3.94%)4 ATR14%
Stop1.2808 (−5.91%)6 ATR4%
Target1.3880 (+1.97%)2 ATR61%
Target1.4014 (+2.95%)3 ATR51%
Target1.4148 (+3.94%)4 ATR38%
Target1.4416 (+5.91%)6 ATR26%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 298 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0402 (2.95%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.