XRP rose 2.96% in one hour on 22/09/2026 — what followed

XRP: event 22/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC, up move +2.96%, magnitude 4.4, ATR(24) 1.64%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.4M
rare
XRP ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 7 d · 1.8×ATR
#243 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
+2.96%
hour Tue 22/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · 1.5885
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 220 hretraced to the midpoint after 1 h — planned entryfavourable 2.7 ATR · against 2.1 ATR

Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 3 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 66% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.5650).

In 66% of similar cases the price pulled down to 1.5650 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 3 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (52% vs 25%).

normal hour 1.64%this movement 2.96%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 1.5885
Stop1.5103 (−4.93%) 3 ATRhit in 25% of similar cases
Target1.6667 (+4.93%) 3 ATRreached in 52% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.64% ≈ 0.0261. History: 172 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop1.5624 (−1.64%)1 ATR69%
Stop1.5363 (−3.28%)2 ATR42%
Stop1.5103 (−4.93%)3 ATR25%
Stop1.4842 (−6.57%)4 ATR14%
Stop1.4320 (−9.85%)6 ATR4%
Target1.6407 (+3.28%)2 ATR62%
Target1.6667 (+4.93%)3 ATR52%
Target1.6928 (+6.57%)4 ATR39%
Target1.7450 (+9.85%)6 ATR26%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 153 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0782 (4.93%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.