XRP rose 1.98% in one hour on 28/09/2026 — what followed

XRP: event 28/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, up move +1.98%, magnitude 3.7, ATR(24) 1.17%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.7M
rare
XRP ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 3 d · 1.7×ATR
#680 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
+1.98%
hour Mon 28/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 1.5231
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 77 hstop hitThe provider later revised XRP data for this hour; this card shows the values at publication, as in Telegram.favourable 1.9 ATR · against 3.2 ATR

Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 3 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 66% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.5080).

In 66% of similar cases the price pulled down to 1.5080 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 3 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (51% vs 24%).

normal hour 1.17%this movement 1.98%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 1.5231
Stop1.4698 (−3.50%) 3 ATRhit in 24% of similar cases
Target1.5764 (+3.50%) 3 ATRreached in 51% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.17% ≈ 0.0178. History: 172 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop1.5053 (−1.17%)1 ATR69%
Stop1.4876 (−2.33%)2 ATR43%
Stop1.4698 (−3.50%)3 ATR24%
Stop1.4520 (−4.67%)4 ATR14%
Stop1.4165 (−7.00%)6 ATR4%
Target1.5586 (+2.33%)2 ATR62%
Target1.5764 (+3.50%)3 ATR51%
Target1.5942 (+4.67%)4 ATR39%
Target1.6297 (+7.00%)6 ATR27%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 225 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0533 (3.50%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.