DOGE rose 7.04% in one hour on 05/09/2026 — what followed

DOGE: event 05/09, 17:00–18:00 UTC, up move +7.04%, magnitude 7.8, ATR(24) 1.02%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
7.8M
extreme
DOGE ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 330 d · 6.9×ATR
#14 hourly move of DOGE in 2 years
+7.04%
hour Sat 05/09, 17:00–18:00 UTC · 0.0942
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 624 hstop hitfavourable 0.6 ATR · against 6.8 ATR

Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 70% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (0.0909).

In 70% of similar cases the price pulled down to 0.0909 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (58% vs 28%).

normal hour 1.02%this movement 7.04%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 0.0942
Stop0.0913 (−3.06%) 3 ATRhit in 28% of similar cases
Target0.0962 (+2.04%) 2 ATRreached in 58% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.02% ≈ 0.0010. History: 159 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop0.0933 (−1.02%)1 ATR75%
Stop0.0923 (−2.04%)2 ATR45%
Stop0.0913 (−3.06%)3 ATR28%
Stop0.0904 (−4.08%)4 ATR18%
Stop0.0885 (−6.13%)6 ATR3%
Target0.0962 (+2.04%)2 ATR58%
Target0.0971 (+3.06%)3 ATR46%
Target0.0981 (+4.08%)4 ATR35%
Target0.1000 (+6.13%)6 ATR19%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 4,150 DOGE, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0029 (3.06%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.