DOGE rose 3.04% in one hour on 22/09/2026 — what followed

DOGE: event 22/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC, up move +3.04%, magnitude 5.2, ATR(24) 2.37%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
5.2M
very rare
DOGE ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 16 d · 1.3×ATR
#268 hourly move of DOGE in 2 years
+3.04%
hour Tue 22/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC · 0.1019
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 230 hretraced to the midpoint after 1 h — planned entryfavourable 1.6 ATR · against 2.0 ATR

Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 71% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (0.1004).

In 71% of similar cases the price pulled down to 0.1004 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (59% vs 28%).

normal hour 2.37%this movement 3.04%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 0.1019
Stop0.0947 (−7.11%) 3 ATRhit in 28% of similar cases
Target0.1068 (+4.74%) 2 ATRreached in 59% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 2.37% ≈ 0.0024. History: 146 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop0.0995 (−2.37%)1 ATR73%
Stop0.0971 (−4.74%)2 ATR44%
Stop0.0947 (−7.11%)3 ATR28%
Stop0.0923 (−9.47%)4 ATR18%
Stop0.0874 (−14.21%)6 ATR3%
Target0.1068 (+4.74%)2 ATR59%
Target0.1092 (+7.11%)3 ATR48%
Target0.1116 (+9.47%)4 ATR38%
Target0.1164 (+14.21%)6 ATR20%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 1,650 DOGE, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0072 (7.11%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.