DOGE rose 2.65% in one hour on 11/09/2026 — what followed

DOGE: event 11/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC, up move +2.65%, magnitude 4.3, ATR(24) 0.99%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.3M
rare
DOGE ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 6 d · 2.7×ATR
#410 hourly move of DOGE in 2 years
+2.65%
hour Fri 11/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · 0.0874
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 484 hstop hitfavourable 1.0 ATR · against 4.5 ATR

Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 70% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (0.0863).

In 70% of similar cases the price pulled down to 0.0863 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (60% vs 28%).

normal hour 0.99%this movement 2.65%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 0.0874
Stop0.0848 (−2.96%) 3 ATRhit in 28% of similar cases
Target0.0892 (+1.97%) 2 ATRreached in 60% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.99% ≈ 0.0009. History: 161 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop0.0866 (−0.99%)1 ATR74%
Stop0.0857 (−1.97%)2 ATR44%
Stop0.0848 (−2.96%)3 ATR28%
Stop0.0840 (−3.95%)4 ATR17%
Stop0.0823 (−5.92%)6 ATR2%
Target0.0892 (+1.97%)2 ATR60%
Target0.0900 (+2.96%)3 ATR47%
Target0.0909 (+3.95%)4 ATR37%
Target0.0926 (+5.92%)6 ATR20%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 4,630 DOGE, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0026 (2.96%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.