DOGE rose 2.02% in one hour on 30/09/2026 — what followed
DOGE: event 30/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, up move +2.02%, magnitude 4.4, ATR(24) 1.12%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.4M
rareDOGE ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 7 d · 1.8×ATR
+2.02%
hour Wed 30/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 0.0978
Elapsed 29 hstop hitThe provider is not returning the DOGE candle; the publication snapshot is preserved.favourable 0.4 ATR · against 3.9 ATR
Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 69% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (0.0968).
In 69% of similar cases the price pulled down to 0.0968 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (56% vs 29%).
normal hour 1.12%this movement 2.02%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 0.0978
Stop0.0945 (−3.36%) 3 ATRhit in 29% of similar cases
Target0.1000 (+2.24%) 2 ATRreached in 56% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.12% ≈ 0.0011. History: 137 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 0.0967 (−1.12%) | 1 ATR | 73% |
| Stop | 0.0956 (−2.24%) | 2 ATR | 43% |
| Stop | 0.0945 (−3.36%) | 3 ATR | 29% |
| Stop | 0.0934 (−4.48%) | 4 ATR | 20% |
| Stop | 0.0912 (−6.73%) | 6 ATR | 4% |
| Target | 0.1000 (+2.24%) | 2 ATR | 56% |
| Target | 0.1011 (+3.36%) | 3 ATR | 45% |
| Target | 0.1022 (+4.48%) | 4 ATR | 35% |
| Target | 0.1043 (+6.73%) | 6 ATR | 18% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 3,640 DOGE, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0033 (3.36%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Wed 23/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · +2.00% · M 2.4 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 22/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · +2.02% · M 2.0 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Mon 21/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · +2.37% · M 1.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Mon 21/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · +2.38% · M 4.7 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 11/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · +2.65% · M 4.3 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.