PAXG rose 0.95% in one hour on 16/09/2026 — what followed
PAXG: event 16/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC, up move +0.95%, magnitude 4.1, ATR(24) 0.32%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.1M
rarePAXG ▲ Rise
Gold · largest in 5 d · 3×ATR
#192 hourly move of PAXG in 2 years
+0.95%
hour Wed 16/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · 4,327
Elapsed 375 htarget reached in hour 8favourable 3.4 ATR · against 7.1 ATR
Retraced after 16 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 75% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (4,306).
In 75% of similar cases the price pulled down to 4,306 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (47% vs 33%).
normal hour 0.32%this movement 0.95%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 4,327
Stop4,286 (−0.95%) 3 ATRhit in 33% of similar cases
No reliable target4,354 (+0.63%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 47% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.32% ≈ 14. History: 236 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 4,313 (−0.32%) | 1 ATR | 73% |
| Stop | 4,299 (−0.63%) | 2 ATR | 44% |
| Stop | 4,286 (−0.95%) | 3 ATR | 33% |
| Stop | 4,272 (−1.26%) | 4 ATR | 25% |
| Stop | 4,245 (−1.90%) | 6 ATR | 11% |
| Target | 4,354 (+0.63%) | 2 ATR | 47% |
| Target | 4,368 (+0.95%) | 3 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 4,381 (+1.26%) | 4 ATR | 18% |
| Target | 4,409 (+1.90%) | 6 ATR | 9% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.292 PAXG, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 41 (0.95%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- 10:00–11:00 UTC · +0.48% · M 2.7 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
- Fri 11/09, 04:00–05:00 UTC · +0.67% · M 2.5 Retraced after 8 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Wed 02/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · +1.12% · M 4.2 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.