Nasdaq 100 fell 0.56% in one hour on 09/09/2026 — what followed

Nasdaq 100: event 09/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC, down move -0.56%, magnitude 4.3, ATR(24) 0.28%.

Updated 10/09/2026, 10:00 UTC

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted

4.3M

rare

Nasdaq 100 ▼ Fall

Indices · largest in 6 d · 2×ATR

#527 hourly move of Nasdaq 100 in 2 years

-0.56%

hour Wed 09/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · 29,374

Elapsed 536 hretraced to the midpoint after 4 h — planned entryfavourable 0.8 ATR · against 2.3 ATR

Retraced after 4 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 512 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

No rush: in 78% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (29,456).

In 78% of similar cases the price pulled up to 29,456 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (53% vs 34%).

normal hour 0.28%this movement 0.56%

Levels from statistics · after a down move from 29,374

Stop29,704 (+1.12%) 4 ATRhit in 34% of similar cases

Target29,209 (−0.56%) 2 ATRreached in 53% of similar cases

ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.28% ≈ 83. History: 163 similar movements, without lookahead.

Other stops and targets

Level	Price and %	Range	Probability
Stop	29,457 (+0.28%)	1 ATR	83%
Stop	29,539 (+0.56%)	2 ATR	69%
Stop	29,622 (+0.84%)	3 ATR	50%
Stop	29,704 (+1.12%)	4 ATR	34%
Stop	29,869 (+1.69%)	6 ATR	16%
Target	29,209 (−0.56%)	2 ATR	53%
Target	29,126 (−0.84%)	3 ATR	42%
Target	29,044 (−1.12%)	4 ATR	28%
Target	28,879 (−1.69%)	6 ATR	15%

Position size

Account currencyAccount, ₽Risk per trade, %

At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0363 contracts, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 330 (1.12%).

Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.

Similar moves

07:00–08:00 UTC · -0.56% · M 3.6 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -0.81% · M 3.7 Retraced after 4 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 335 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.