Nasdaq 100 fell 0.81% in one hour on 16/09/2026 — what followed

Nasdaq 100: event 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC, down move -0.81%, magnitude 3.7, ATR(24) 0.22%.

Updated 17/09/2026, 19:00 UTC

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted

3.7M

rare

Nasdaq 100 ▼ Fall

Indices · largest in 3 d · 3.7×ATR

#208 hourly move of Nasdaq 100 in 2 years

-0.81%

hour Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · 28,930

Elapsed 359 htarget reached in hour 1favourable 2.8 ATR · against 8.4 ATR

Retraced after 4 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 335 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

No rush: in 77% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (29,047).

In 77% of similar cases the price pulled up to 29,047 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (56% vs 32%).

normal hour 0.22%this movement 0.81%

Levels from statistics · after a down move from 28,930

Stop29,181 (+0.87%) 4 ATRhit in 32% of similar cases

Target28,804 (−0.43%) 2 ATRreached in 56% of similar cases

ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.22% ≈ 63. History: 168 similar movements, without lookahead.

Other stops and targets

Level	Price and %	Range	Probability
Stop	28,992 (+0.22%)	1 ATR	83%
Stop	29,055 (+0.43%)	2 ATR	67%
Stop	29,118 (+0.65%)	3 ATR	48%
Stop	29,181 (+0.87%)	4 ATR	32%
Stop	29,307 (+1.30%)	6 ATR	15%
Target	28,804 (−0.43%)	2 ATR	56%
Target	28,741 (−0.65%)	3 ATR	42%
Target	28,678 (−0.87%)	4 ATR	29%
Target	28,552 (−1.30%)	6 ATR	14%

Position size

Account currencyAccount, ₽Risk per trade, %

At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0476 contracts, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 252 (0.87%).

Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.

Similar moves

07:00–08:00 UTC · -0.56% · M 3.6 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
Wed 09/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · -0.56% · M 4.3 Retraced after 4 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 512 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.