Nasdaq 100 fell 0.56% in one hour on 01/10/2026 — what followed
Nasdaq 100: event 01/10, 07:00–08:00 UTC, down move -0.56%, magnitude 3.6, ATR(24) 0.34%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcome
3.6M
rareNasdaq 100 ▼ Fall
Indices · largest in 3 d · 1.7×ATR
#525 hourly move of Nasdaq 100 in 2 years
-0.56%
hour 07:00–08:00 UTC · 30,585
Elapsed 10 htarget reached in hour 7 · observation continues to 24 hfavourable 3.0 ATR · against 0.9 ATR
Observation continues; result after 24 h.
No rush: in 78% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (30,671).
In 78% of similar cases the price pulled up to 30,671 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (57% vs 31%).
normal hour 0.34%this movement 0.56%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 30,585
Stop30,995 (+1.34%) 4 ATRhit in 31% of similar cases
Target30,380 (−0.67%) 2 ATRreached in 57% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.34% ≈ 102. History: 168 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 30,687 (+0.34%) | 1 ATR | 83% |
| Stop | 30,790 (+0.67%) | 2 ATR | 67% |
| Stop | 30,892 (+1.01%) | 3 ATR | 49% |
| Stop | 30,995 (+1.34%) | 4 ATR | 31% |
| Stop | 31,200 (+2.01%) | 6 ATR | 16% |
| Target | 30,380 (−0.67%) | 2 ATR | 57% |
| Target | 30,278 (−1.01%) | 3 ATR | 42% |
| Target | 30,175 (−1.34%) | 4 ATR | 29% |
| Target | 29,970 (−2.01%) | 6 ATR | 14% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0292 contracts, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 410 (1.34%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -0.81% · M 3.7 Retraced after 4 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 335 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Wed 09/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · -0.56% · M 4.3 Retraced after 4 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 512 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.