BTC fell 2.18% in one hour on 04/09/2026 — what followed
BTC: event 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, down move -2.18%, magnitude 5.1, ATR(24) 0.76%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
5.1M
very rareBTC ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 14 d · 2.9×ATR
#89 hourly move of BTC in 2 years
-2.18%
hour Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 79,454
Elapsed 653 hmoved without retracingfavourable 1.3 ATR · against 0.7 ATR
Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 71% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (80,320).
In 71% of similar cases the price pulled up to 80,320 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (51% vs 27%).
normal hour 0.76%this movement 2.18%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 79,454
Stop81,878 (+3.05%) 4 ATRhit in 27% of similar cases
Target78,242 (−1.53%) 2 ATRreached in 51% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.76% ≈ 606. History: 197 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 80,060 (+0.76%) | 1 ATR | 79% |
| Stop | 80,666 (+1.53%) | 2 ATR | 57% |
| Stop | 81,272 (+2.29%) | 3 ATR | 41% |
| Stop | 81,878 (+3.05%) | 4 ATR | 27% |
| Stop | 83,089 (+4.58%) | 6 ATR | 16% |
| Target | 78,242 (−1.53%) | 2 ATR | 51% |
| Target | 77,636 (−2.29%) | 3 ATR | 37% |
| Target | 77,030 (−3.05%) | 4 ATR | 26% |
| Target | 75,818 (−4.58%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00494 BTC, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 2,424 (3.05%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Tue 15/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -1.25% · M 4.0 Retraced after 24 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.