BTC rose 1.88% in one hour on 30/09/2026 — what followed
BTC: event 30/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, up move +1.88%, magnitude 4.7, ATR(24) 0.52%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.7M
rareBTC ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 9 d · 3.6×ATR
#151 hourly move of BTC in 2 years
+1.88%
hour Wed 30/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 85,492
Elapsed 29 hstop hitThe provider later revised BTC data for this hour; this card shows the values at publication, as in Telegram.favourable 0.3 ATR · against 5.2 ATR
Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 62% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (84,689).
In 62% of similar cases the price pulled down to 84,689 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (55% vs 34%).
normal hour 0.52%this movement 1.88%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 85,492
Stop84,151 (−1.57%) 3 ATRhit in 34% of similar cases
Target86,387 (+1.05%) 2 ATRreached in 55% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.52% ≈ 447. History: 177 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 85,045 (−0.52%) | 1 ATR | 73% |
| Stop | 84,598 (−1.05%) | 2 ATR | 47% |
| Stop | 84,151 (−1.57%) | 3 ATR | 34% |
| Stop | 83,704 (−2.09%) | 4 ATR | 22% |
| Stop | 82,810 (−3.14%) | 6 ATR | 11% |
| Target | 86,387 (+1.05%) | 2 ATR | 55% |
| Target | 86,834 (+1.57%) | 3 ATR | 34% |
| Target | 87,281 (+2.09%) | 4 ATR | 24% |
| Target | 88,175 (+3.14%) | 6 ATR | 9% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00893 BTC, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 1,341 (1.57%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Mon 21/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · +2.50% · M 3.7 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 18/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · +2.60% · M 5.7 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · +1.29% · M 4.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Thu 03/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · +2.17% · M 5.0 Retraced after 22 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.