BTC rose 1.29% in one hour on 11/09/2026 — what followed
BTC: event 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, up move +1.29%, magnitude 4.5, ATR(24) 0.52%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.5M
rareBTC ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 7 d · 2.5×ATR
#425 hourly move of BTC in 2 years
+1.29%
hour Fri 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 78,033
Elapsed 485 htarget reached in hour 1favourable 4.6 ATR · against 2.9 ATR
Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 64% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (77,530).
In 64% of similar cases the price pulled down to 77,530 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (53% vs 35%).
normal hour 0.52%this movement 1.29%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 78,033
Stop76,821 (−1.55%) 3 ATRhit in 35% of similar cases
Target78,841 (+1.04%) 2 ATRreached in 53% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.52% ≈ 404. History: 176 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 77,629 (−0.52%) | 1 ATR | 76% |
| Stop | 77,225 (−1.04%) | 2 ATR | 48% |
| Stop | 76,821 (−1.55%) | 3 ATR | 35% |
| Stop | 76,416 (−2.07%) | 4 ATR | 24% |
| Stop | 75,608 (−3.11%) | 6 ATR | 11% |
| Target | 78,841 (+1.04%) | 2 ATR | 53% |
| Target | 79,245 (+1.55%) | 3 ATR | 32% |
| Target | 79,650 (+2.07%) | 4 ATR | 23% |
| Target | 80,458 (+3.11%) | 6 ATR | 9% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00988 BTC, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 1,212 (1.55%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Wed 30/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · +1.88% · M 4.7 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Mon 21/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · +2.50% · M 3.7 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 18/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · +2.60% · M 5.7 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Thu 03/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · +2.17% · M 5.0 Retraced after 22 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.