USDJPY fell 0.36% in one hour on 22/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC, down move -0.36%, magnitude 3.9, ATR(24) 0.11%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.9M
rareUSDJPY ▼ Fall
Forex · largest in 4 d · 3.3×ATR
#138 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
-0.36%
hour Tue 22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · 157.17
Elapsed 225 htarget reached in hour 2favourable 2.1 ATR · against 4.2 ATR
Retraced after 7 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 69% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (157.46).
In 69% of similar cases the price pulled up to 157.46 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (48% vs 23%).
normal hour 0.11%this movement 0.36%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 157.17
Stop157.85 (+0.43%) 4 ATRhit in 23% of similar cases
No reliable target156.84 (−0.21%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 48% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.11% ≈ 0.17. History: 127 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 157.34 (+0.11%) | 1 ATR | 76% |
| Stop | 157.51 (+0.21%) | 2 ATR | 60% |
| Stop | 157.68 (+0.32%) | 3 ATR | 43% |
| Stop | 157.85 (+0.43%) | 4 ATR | 23% |
| Stop | 158.18 (+0.64%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
| Target | 156.84 (−0.21%) | 2 ATR | 48% |
| Target | 156.67 (−0.32%) | 3 ATR | 35% |
| Target | 156.50 (−0.43%) | 4 ATR | 27% |
| Target | 156.16 (−0.64%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0281 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.67 (0.43%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Fri 18/09, 15:00–16:00 UTC · -0.36% · M 1.9 retrace unconfirmed, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 5/24 h, last candle 309 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Fri 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -0.37% · M 3.7 Retraced after 5 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 8/24 h, last candle 477 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Tue 08/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -0.41% · M 3.1 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -0.37% · M 3.4 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 8/24 h, last candle 645 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Thu 03/09, 23:00–00:00 UTC · -0.31% · M 2.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 21/24 h, last candle 645 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.