USDJPY fell 0.41% in one hour on 08/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 08/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC, down move -0.41%, magnitude 3.1, ATR(24) 0.21%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.1M
rareUSDJPY ▼ Fall
Forex · largest in 1 d · 1.9×ATR
#102 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
-0.41%
hour Tue 08/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · 153.60
Elapsed 551 hretraced to the midpoint after 1 h — planned entryfavourable 2.0 ATR · against 1.3 ATR
Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 71% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (153.91).
In 71% of similar cases the price pulled up to 153.91 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (50% vs 24%).
normal hour 0.21%this movement 0.41%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 153.60
Stop154.92 (+0.86%) 4 ATRhit in 24% of similar cases
Target152.94 (−0.43%) 2 ATRreached in 50% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.21% ≈ 0.33. History: 121 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 153.93 (+0.21%) | 1 ATR | 76% |
| Stop | 154.26 (+0.43%) | 2 ATR | 62% |
| Stop | 154.59 (+0.64%) | 3 ATR | 44% |
| Stop | 154.92 (+0.86%) | 4 ATR | 24% |
| Stop | 155.58 (+1.29%) | 6 ATR | 7% |
| Target | 152.94 (−0.43%) | 2 ATR | 50% |
| Target | 152.61 (−0.64%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Target | 152.28 (−0.86%) | 4 ATR | 29% |
| Target | 151.62 (−1.29%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0143 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 1.32 (0.86%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Tue 22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · -0.36% · M 3.9 Retraced after 7 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 18/09, 15:00–16:00 UTC · -0.36% · M 1.9 retrace unconfirmed, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 5/24 h, last candle 309 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Fri 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -0.37% · M 3.7 Retraced after 5 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 8/24 h, last candle 477 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -0.37% · M 3.4 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 8/24 h, last candle 645 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Thu 03/09, 23:00–00:00 UTC · -0.31% · M 2.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 21/24 h, last candle 645 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.