SOL rose 2.30% in one hour on 27/09/2026 — what followed

SOL: event 27/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC, up move +2.30%, magnitude 4.3, ATR(24) 0.80%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.3M
rare
SOL ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 6 d · 2.9×ATR
#363 hourly move of SOL in 2 years
+2.30%
hour Sun 27/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC · 124.12
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 106 hstop hitfavourable 0.8 ATR · against 6.3 ATR

Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 65% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (122.69).

In 65% of similar cases the price pulled down to 122.69 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (57% vs 33%).

normal hour 0.80%this movement 2.30%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 124.12
Stop121.15 (−2.40%) 3 ATRhit in 33% of similar cases
Target126.10 (+1.60%) 2 ATRreached in 57% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.80% ≈ 0.99. History: 162 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop123.13 (−0.80%)1 ATR72%
Stop122.14 (−1.60%)2 ATR49%
Stop121.15 (−2.40%)3 ATR33%
Stop120.16 (−3.19%)4 ATR25%
Stop118.17 (−4.79%)6 ATR6%
Target126.10 (+1.60%)2 ATR57%
Target127.09 (+2.40%)3 ATR37%
Target128.08 (+3.19%)4 ATR23%
Target130.07 (+4.79%)6 ATR10%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 4.03 SOL, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 2.97 (2.40%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.