EURUSD rose 0.23% in one hour on 01/10/2026 — what followed
EURUSD: event 01/10, 10:00–11:00 UTC, up move +0.23%, magnitude 5.1, ATR(24) 0.12%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcome
5.1M
very rareEURUSD ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 15 d · 1.9×ATR
#342 hourly move of EURUSD in 2 years
+0.23%
hour 10:00–11:00 UTC · 1.1296
Elapsed 7 hstop hitThe provider later revised EURUSD data for this hour; this card shows the values at publication, as in Telegram.favourable 1.2 ATR · against 6.0 ATR
Observation continues; result after 24 h.
No rush: in 66% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.1283).
In 66% of similar cases the price pulled down to 1.1283 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (53% vs 32%).
normal hour 0.12%this movement 0.23%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 1.1296
Stop1.1256 (−0.36%) 3 ATRhit in 32% of similar cases
Target1.1323 (+0.24%) 2 ATRreached in 53% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.12% ≈ 0.0013. History: 110 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 1.1283 (−0.12%) | 1 ATR | 75% |
| Stop | 1.1269 (−0.24%) | 2 ATR | 48% |
| Stop | 1.1256 (−0.36%) | 3 ATR | 32% |
| Stop | 1.1242 (−0.48%) | 4 ATR | 14% |
| Stop | 1.1215 (−0.71%) | 6 ATR | 3% |
| Target | 1.1323 (+0.24%) | 2 ATR | 53% |
| Target | 1.1336 (+0.36%) | 3 ATR | 35% |
| Target | 1.1350 (+0.48%) | 4 ATR | 25% |
| Target | 1.1377 (+0.71%) | 6 ATR | 15% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0297 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0040 (0.36%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.