USDJPY rose 0.24% in one hour on 28/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 28/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC, up move +0.24%, magnitude 3.6, ATR(24) 0.18%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.6M
rareUSDJPY ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 3 d · 1.3×ATR
#490 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
+0.24%
hour Mon 28/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · 157.80
Elapsed 89 hstop hitfavourable 0.2 ATR · against 4.7 ATR
Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 68% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (157.61).
In 68% of similar cases the price pulled down to 157.61 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (44% vs 36%).
normal hour 0.18%this movement 0.24%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 157.80
Stop156.97 (−0.53%) 3 ATRhit in 36% of similar cases
No reliable target158.36 (+0.35%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 44% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.18% ≈ 0.28. History: 95 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 157.53 (−0.18%) | 1 ATR | 77% |
| Stop | 157.25 (−0.35%) | 2 ATR | 60% |
| Stop | 156.97 (−0.53%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Stop | 156.70 (−0.70%) | 4 ATR | 21% |
| Stop | 156.14 (−1.05%) | 6 ATR | 4% |
| Target | 158.36 (+0.35%) | 2 ATR | 44% |
| Target | 158.63 (+0.53%) | 3 ATR | 31% |
| Target | 158.91 (+0.70%) | 4 ATR | 20% |
| Target | 159.47 (+1.05%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0228 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.83 (0.53%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Mon 28/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · +0.26% · M 3.7 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 18/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC · +0.26% · M 0.6 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 17/24 h, last candle 309 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Thu 10/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · +0.24% · M 2.9 Retraced after 4 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Tue 08/09, 19:00–20:00 UTC · +0.25% · M 0.6 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 08/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · +0.22% · M 1.0 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.