USDJPY rose 0.24% in one hour on 10/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 10/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC, up move +0.24%, magnitude 2.9, ATR(24) 0.17%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
2.9M
noticeableUSDJPY ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 1 d · 1.4×ATR
#451 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
+0.24%
hour Thu 10/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · 154.08
Elapsed 512 htarget reached in hour 2favourable 2.3 ATR · against 0.9 ATR
Retraced after 4 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 69% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (153.89).
In 69% of similar cases the price pulled down to 153.89 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target and the 3 ATR stop were reached about equally often (38% / 36%).
normal hour 0.17%this movement 0.24%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 154.08
Stop153.29 (−0.51%) 3 ATRhit in 36% of similar cases
No reliable target154.60 (+0.34%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 38% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.17% ≈ 0.26. History: 86 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 153.81 (−0.17%) | 1 ATR | 77% |
| Stop | 153.55 (−0.34%) | 2 ATR | 62% |
| Stop | 153.29 (−0.51%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Stop | 153.02 (−0.68%) | 4 ATR | 21% |
| Stop | 152.50 (−1.03%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
| Target | 154.60 (+0.34%) | 2 ATR | 38% |
| Target | 154.87 (+0.51%) | 3 ATR | 26% |
| Target | 155.13 (+0.68%) | 4 ATR | 16% |
| Target | 155.66 (+1.03%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.024 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.79 (0.51%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Mon 28/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · +0.26% · M 3.7 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Mon 28/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · +0.24% · M 3.6 Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 18/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC · +0.26% · M 0.6 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 17/24 h, last candle 310 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Tue 08/09, 19:00–20:00 UTC · +0.25% · M 0.6 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 08/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · +0.22% · M 1.0 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.