USDJPY rose 0.22% in one hour on 08/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 08/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC, up move +0.22%, magnitude 1.0, ATR(24) 0.19%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
1.0M
noticeableUSDJPY ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 1 d · 1.2×ATR
#636 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
+0.22%
hour Tue 08/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · 154.24
Elapsed 560 hstop hitfavourable 0.6 ATR · against 4.5 ATR
Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 65% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (154.07).
In 65% of similar cases the price pulled down to 154.07 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (41% vs 37%).
normal hour 0.19%this movement 0.22%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 154.24
Stop153.38 (−0.56%) 3 ATRhit in 37% of similar cases
No reliable target154.82 (+0.37%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 41% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.19% ≈ 0.29. History: 79 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 153.96 (−0.19%) | 1 ATR | 75% |
| Stop | 153.67 (−0.37%) | 2 ATR | 59% |
| Stop | 153.38 (−0.56%) | 3 ATR | 37% |
| Stop | 153.10 (−0.74%) | 4 ATR | 22% |
| Stop | 152.52 (−1.12%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
| Target | 154.82 (+0.37%) | 2 ATR | 41% |
| Target | 155.11 (+0.56%) | 3 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 155.39 (+0.74%) | 4 ATR | 16% |
| Target | 155.97 (+1.12%) | 6 ATR | 5% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.022 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.86 (0.56%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Tue 29/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · +0.21% · M 2.6 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Mon 28/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · +0.24% · M 3.6 Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Sun 27/09, 22:00–23:00 UTC · +0.20% · M 3.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Thu 24/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC · +0.21% · M 2.5 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Thu 10/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · +0.24% · M 2.9 Retraced after 4 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.