USDJPY rose 0.21% in one hour on 29/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 29/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC, up move +0.21%, magnitude 2.6, ATR(24) 0.15%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
2.6M
noticeableUSDJPY ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 1 d · 1.4×ATR
#657 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
+0.21%
hour Tue 29/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · 157.70
Elapsed 56 hstop hitThe later USDJPY revision was reverted; values match the publication snapshot again.favourable 0.1 ATR · against 5.5 ATR
Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 67% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (157.54).
In 67% of similar cases the price pulled down to 157.54 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target and the 3 ATR stop were reached about equally often (42% / 39%).
normal hour 0.15%this movement 0.21%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 157.70
Stop156.98 (−0.46%) 3 ATRhit in 39% of similar cases
No reliable target158.18 (+0.30%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 42% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.15% ≈ 0.24. History: 95 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 157.46 (−0.15%) | 1 ATR | 77% |
| Stop | 157.22 (−0.30%) | 2 ATR | 61% |
| Stop | 156.98 (−0.46%) | 3 ATR | 39% |
| Stop | 156.74 (−0.61%) | 4 ATR | 22% |
| Stop | 156.26 (−0.91%) | 6 ATR | 5% |
| Target | 158.18 (+0.30%) | 2 ATR | 42% |
| Target | 158.42 (+0.46%) | 3 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 158.66 (+0.61%) | 4 ATR | 17% |
| Target | 159.14 (+0.91%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0263 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.72 (0.46%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Mon 28/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · +0.24% · M 3.6 Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Sun 27/09, 22:00–23:00 UTC · +0.20% · M 3.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Thu 24/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC · +0.21% · M 2.5 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Tue 08/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · +0.22% · M 1.0 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 04/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC · +0.19% · M 1.4 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 17/24 h, last candle 645 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.