USDJPY rose 0.21% in one hour on 24/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 24/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC, up move +0.21%, magnitude 2.5, ATR(24) 0.13%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
2.5M
noticeableUSDJPY ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 1 d · 1.7×ATR
#683 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
+0.21%
hour Thu 24/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC · 158.22
Elapsed 181 htarget reached in hour 4favourable 4.0 ATR · against 0.8 ATR
Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 67% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (158.06).
In 67% of similar cases the price pulled down to 158.06 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (41% vs 37%).
normal hour 0.13%this movement 0.21%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 158.22
Stop157.62 (−0.38%) 3 ATRhit in 37% of similar cases
No reliable target158.63 (+0.26%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 41% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.13% ≈ 0.20. History: 87 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 158.02 (−0.13%) | 1 ATR | 76% |
| Stop | 157.82 (−0.26%) | 2 ATR | 61% |
| Stop | 157.62 (−0.38%) | 3 ATR | 37% |
| Stop | 157.42 (−0.51%) | 4 ATR | 21% |
| Stop | 157.01 (−0.77%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
| Target | 158.63 (+0.26%) | 2 ATR | 41% |
| Target | 158.83 (+0.38%) | 3 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 159.03 (+0.51%) | 4 ATR | 16% |
| Target | 159.44 (+0.77%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0312 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.61 (0.38%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Tue 29/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · +0.21% · M 2.6 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Mon 28/09, 00:00–01:00 UTC · +0.24% · M 3.6 Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Sun 27/09, 22:00–23:00 UTC · +0.20% · M 3.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 08/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · +0.22% · M 1.0 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 04/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC · +0.19% · M 1.4 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 17/24 h, last candle 646 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.