Gold fell 1.11% in one hour on 10/09/2026 — what followed
Gold: event 10/09, 20:00–21:00 UTC, down move -1.11%, magnitude 3.3, ATR(24) 0.48%.
Updated
Retraced after 9 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 477 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
In 77% of similar cases the price pulled up to 4,341 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (50% vs 36%).
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 4,338 (+0.48%) | 1 ATR | 77% |
| Stop | 4,359 (+0.96%) | 2 ATR | 55% |
| Stop | 4,380 (+1.45%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Stop | 4,400 (+1.93%) | 4 ATR | 24% |
| Stop | 4,442 (+2.89%) | 6 ATR | 7% |
| Target | 4,275 (−0.96%) | 2 ATR | 50% |
| Target | 4,255 (−1.45%) | 3 ATR | 39% |
| Target | 4,234 (−1.93%) | 4 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 4,192 (−2.89%) | 6 ATR | 15% |
Position size
Similar moves
- Wed 30/09, 17:00–18:00 UTC · -0.95% · M 4.7 Retraced after 10 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 0 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Mon 28/09, 03:00–04:00 UTC · -0.73% · M 4.4 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 62 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Mon 28/09, 01:00–02:00 UTC · -1.14% · M 4.9 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 64 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Mon 21/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC · -1.06% · M 4.1 Retraced after 4 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 226 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -1.64% · M 5.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 8/24 h, last candle 645 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.