USDJPY fell 0.70% in one hour on 07/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 07/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC, down move -0.70%, magnitude 5.9, ATR(24) 0.23%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
5.9M
very rareUSDJPY ▼ Fall
Forex · largest in 35 d · 3.1×ATR
#22 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
-0.70%
hour Mon 07/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · 154.46
Elapsed 585 htarget reached in hour 16favourable 4.5 ATR · against 1.0 ATR
Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 72% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (155.00).
In 72% of similar cases the price pulled up to 155.00 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (49% vs 24%).
normal hour 0.23%this movement 0.70%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 154.46
Stop155.86 (+0.90%) 4 ATRhit in 24% of similar cases
No reliable target153.76 (−0.45%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 49% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.23% ≈ 0.35. History: 116 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 154.81 (+0.23%) | 1 ATR | 77% |
| Stop | 155.16 (+0.45%) | 2 ATR | 63% |
| Stop | 155.51 (+0.68%) | 3 ATR | 44% |
| Stop | 155.86 (+0.90%) | 4 ATR | 24% |
| Stop | 156.55 (+1.36%) | 6 ATR | 7% |
| Target | 153.76 (−0.45%) | 2 ATR | 49% |
| Target | 153.41 (−0.68%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Target | 153.07 (−0.90%) | 4 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 152.37 (−1.36%) | 6 ATR | 14% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0136 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 1.40 (0.90%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Tue 22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · -0.36% · M 3.9 Retraced after 7 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 11/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -0.37% · M 3.7 Retraced after 5 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 8/24 h, last candle 477 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Tue 08/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -0.41% · M 3.1 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -0.37% · M 3.4 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 8/24 h, last candle 645 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Wed 02/09, 13:00–14:00 UTC · -0.64% · M 5.7 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.