WTI fell 3.24% in one hour on 22/09/2026 — what followed

WTI: event 22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC, down move -3.24%, magnitude 4.0, ATR(24) 0.83%.

Updated 23/09/2026, 09:00 UTC

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted

4.0M

rare

WTI ▼ Fall

Oil · largest in 4 d · 3.9×ATR

#44 hourly move of WTI in 2 years

-3.24%

hour Tue 22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · 90.42

Elapsed 225 htarget reached in hour 11favourable 2.3 ATR · against 2.2 ATR

Retraced after 8 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 201 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

No rush: in 75% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (91.88).

In 75% of similar cases the price pulled up to 91.88 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (50% vs 36%).

normal hour 0.83%this movement 3.24%

Levels from statistics · after a down move from 90.42

Stop92.67 (+2.49%) 3 ATRhit in 36% of similar cases

Target88.92 (−1.66%) 2 ATRreached in 50% of similar cases

ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.83% ≈ 0.75. History: 204 similar movements, without lookahead.

Other stops and targets

Level	Price and %	Range	Probability
Stop	91.17 (+0.83%)	1 ATR	77%
Stop	91.92 (+1.66%)	2 ATR	55%
Stop	92.67 (+2.49%)	3 ATR	36%
Stop	93.42 (+3.32%)	4 ATR	26%
Stop	94.92 (+4.98%)	6 ATR	11%
Target	88.92 (−1.66%)	2 ATR	50%
Target	88.17 (−2.49%)	3 ATR	30%
Target	87.42 (−3.32%)	4 ATR	18%
Target	85.92 (−4.98%)	6 ATR	9%

Position size

Account currencyAccount, ₽Risk per trade, %

At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00532 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 2.25 (2.49%).

Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.

Similar moves

03:00–04:00 UTC · -1.26% · M 3.6 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
Mon 28/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC · -2.02% · M 4.0 Retraced after 11 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 49 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Thu 24/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC · -1.96% · M 3.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 145 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Fri 18/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC · -4.69% · M 6.1 Retraced after 6 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 13/24 h, last candle 309 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Mon 14/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC · -1.72% · M 2.6 Retraced after 8 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 385 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.