WTI fell 1.72% in one hour on 14/09/2026 — what followed

WTI: event 14/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC, down move -1.72%, magnitude 2.6, ATR(24) 1.16%.

Updated 15/09/2026, 17:00 UTC

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted

2.6M

noticeable

WTI ▼ Fall

Oil · largest in 1 d · 1.5×ATR

#196 hourly move of WTI in 2 years

-1.72%

hour Mon 14/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC · 101.36

Elapsed 410 hstop hitfavourable 0.7 ATR · against 4.1 ATR

Retraced after 8 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 386 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

No rush: in 75% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (102.23).

In 75% of similar cases the price pulled up to 102.23 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (52% vs 36%).

normal hour 1.16%this movement 1.72%

Levels from statistics · after a down move from 101.36

Stop104.90 (+3.49%) 3 ATRhit in 36% of similar cases

Target99.00 (−2.33%) 2 ATRreached in 52% of similar cases

ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.16% ≈ 1.18. History: 207 similar movements, without lookahead.

Other stops and targets

Level	Price and %	Range	Probability
Stop	102.54 (+1.16%)	1 ATR	77%
Stop	103.72 (+2.33%)	2 ATR	54%
Stop	104.90 (+3.49%)	3 ATR	36%
Stop	106.08 (+4.66%)	4 ATR	26%
Stop	108.44 (+6.99%)	6 ATR	11%
Target	99.00 (−2.33%)	2 ATR	52%
Target	97.82 (−3.49%)	3 ATR	31%
Target	96.64 (−4.66%)	4 ATR	19%
Target	94.28 (−6.99%)	6 ATR	9%

Position size

Account currencyAccount, ₽Risk per trade, %

At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00338 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 3.54 (3.49%).

Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.

Similar moves

03:00–04:00 UTC · -1.26% · M 3.6 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
Mon 28/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC · -2.02% · M 4.0 Retraced after 11 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 50 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Thu 24/09, 16:00–17:00 UTC · -1.96% · M 3.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 146 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Tue 22/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · -3.24% · M 4.0 Retraced after 8 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 202 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Fri 11/09, 04:00–05:00 UTC · -0.86% · M 1.4 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 16/24 h, last candle 478 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.