XRP fell 2.11% in one hour on 20/09/2026 — what followed

XRP: event 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC, down move -2.11%, magnitude 3.1, ATR(24) 1.13%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.1M
rare
XRP ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 2 d · 1.9×ATR
#579 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
-2.11%
hour Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · 1.3707
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 279 hstop hitfavourable 0.2 ATR · against 4.4 ATR

Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 85% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.3852).

In 85% of similar cases the price pulled up to 1.3852 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target and the 4 ATR stop were reached about equally often (37% / 35%).

normal hour 1.13%this movement 2.11%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 1.3707
Stop1.4328 (+4.53%) 4 ATRhit in 35% of similar cases
No reliable target1.3397 (−2.26%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 37% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.13% ≈ 0.0155. History: 137 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop1.3862 (+1.13%)1 ATR84%
Stop1.4017 (+2.26%)2 ATR64%
Stop1.4173 (+3.40%)3 ATR46%
Stop1.4328 (+4.53%)4 ATR35%
Stop1.4638 (+6.79%)6 ATR21%
Target1.3397 (−2.26%)2 ATR37%
Target1.3241 (−3.40%)3 ATR24%
Target1.3086 (−4.53%)4 ATR15%
Target1.2776 (−6.79%)6 ATR6%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 193 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0621 (4.53%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.