XRP fell 2.85% in one hour on 04/09/2026 — what followed
XRP: event 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, down move -2.85%, magnitude 2.7, ATR(24) 1.36%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
2.7M
noticeableXRP ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 1 d · 2.1×ATR
#270 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
-2.85%
hour Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 1.4093
Elapsed 654 hmoved without retracingfavourable 1.3 ATR · against 0.7 ATR
Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 85% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.4294).
In 85% of similar cases the price pulled up to 1.4294 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (40% vs 35%).
normal hour 1.36%this movement 2.85%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 1.4093
Stop1.4860 (+5.44%) 4 ATRhit in 35% of similar cases
No reliable target1.3710 (−2.72%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 40% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.36% ≈ 0.0192. History: 144 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 1.4285 (+1.36%) | 1 ATR | 85% |
| Stop | 1.4476 (+2.72%) | 2 ATR | 64% |
| Stop | 1.4668 (+4.08%) | 3 ATR | 46% |
| Stop | 1.4860 (+5.44%) | 4 ATR | 35% |
| Stop | 1.5243 (+8.16%) | 6 ATR | 20% |
| Target | 1.3710 (−2.72%) | 2 ATR | 40% |
| Target | 1.3518 (−4.08%) | 3 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 1.3326 (−5.44%) | 4 ATR | 20% |
| Target | 1.2943 (−8.16%) | 6 ATR | 10% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 156 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0767 (5.44%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Thu 24/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · -1.73% · M 2.6 Retraced after 2 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Wed 23/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · -2.99% · M 4.6 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Wed 23/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC · -1.79% · M 2.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · -2.11% · M 3.1 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 15/09, 19:00–20:00 UTC · -2.20% · M 0.6 Retraced after 9 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.