XRP fell 2.20% in one hour on 15/09/2026 — what followed
XRP: event 15/09, 19:00–20:00 UTC, down move -2.20%, magnitude 0.6, ATR(24) 1.70%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
0.6M
noticeableXRP ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 1 d · 1.3×ATR
#527 hourly move of XRP in 2 years
-2.20%
hour Tue 15/09, 19:00–20:00 UTC · 1.2961
Elapsed 383 htarget reached in hour 22favourable 2.2 ATR · against 0.8 ATR
Retraced after 9 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 86% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.3104).
In 86% of similar cases the price pulled up to 1.3104 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target and the 4 ATR stop were reached about equally often (38% / 36%).
normal hour 1.70%this movement 2.20%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 1.2961
Stop1.3841 (+6.79%) 4 ATRhit in 36% of similar cases
No reliable target1.2521 (−3.39%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 38% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.70% ≈ 0.0220. History: 138 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 1.3181 (+1.70%) | 1 ATR | 85% |
| Stop | 1.3401 (+3.39%) | 2 ATR | 64% |
| Stop | 1.3621 (+5.09%) | 3 ATR | 46% |
| Stop | 1.3841 (+6.79%) | 4 ATR | 36% |
| Stop | 1.4281 (+10.18%) | 6 ATR | 20% |
| Target | 1.2521 (−3.39%) | 2 ATR | 38% |
| Target | 1.2301 (−5.09%) | 3 ATR | 25% |
| Target | 1.2081 (−6.79%) | 4 ATR | 17% |
| Target | 1.1641 (−10.18%) | 6 ATR | 7% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 136 XRP, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0880 (6.79%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Thu 24/09, 09:00–10:00 UTC · -1.73% · M 2.6 Retraced after 2 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Wed 23/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · -2.99% · M 4.6 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Wed 23/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC · -1.79% · M 2.5 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · -2.11% · M 3.1 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -2.85% · M 2.7 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.