Silver: volatility and unusual movements
Silver: last closed candle 01/10, 16:00 UTC, price 60.57, hourly change -0.07%, no notable events over 24 h. Last event: 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC, down move -2.86%, M 6.1.
Updated
Silver — hourly moves and how rare they are, computed on closed TLAP candles. Below: the latest notable move with its stop and target plan, a 30-day feed of events with verified outcomes, a summary after similar moves split by direction, the distribution of hourly moves over a year, and the records of this instrument. The service never suggests a trade direction.
Latest notable move
last hour -0.07% · pick another instrument
Last 30 days 1 24-h outcomes with M ≥ 3 · 0 with complete data
| Time | Instrument | Movement | M | Recommendation | Outcome | Retracement | Stop | Target | Max. favourable / adverse | +24 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC | Silver | ▼ -2.86% | 6.1 | after a down move · stop 3 ATR · target 2 ATR | Retraced after 7 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 334 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed. | ✓ | ✗ | ? | 1.8 / 7.2 ATR | -1.27× |
After similar moves every event of this instrument in that direction, on closed candles
| Measure | After an up move | After a down move |
|---|---|---|
| Events in history | 217 | 221 |
| Midpoint retracement within 12 h | 77% | 79% |
| A 3 ATR stop survived | 67% | 63% |
| A 2 ATR target was reached | 47% | 47% |
Distribution of hourly moves absolute change over 365 days · 5920 hours
A median hour moves the price by 0.33%, two percent of hours go beyond 2.46%, and the largest hour of the year moved 13.74%. The current ATR(24) is 0.62%.
Records of this instrument the rarest hourly move of each period by magnitude
| Week | Month | Year | Calm and its rank this year |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | M 8.2 -13.74% Thu 05/02, 02:00 | 251 trading h #5 of 95 |
Instrument questions
What is the stop for the latest Silver hourly event?
For the latest Silver event, the plan's stop is 64.84 (3 ATR(24)) from the 63.54 close. This level belongs to that event; it is not a standing stop for the instrument.
What is Silver's usual hourly volatility?
Over 365 days, Silver's median absolute hourly move was 0.33%; p98 was 2.46%. These are closed hourly candle moves, not a forecast.
What was Silver's largest move this year?
Silver's largest hourly move in the Moscow calendar year: 05/02/2026 02:00 UTC, -13.74% (M 8.2).
Latest events
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.