Silver fell 2.86% in one hour on 16/09/2026 — what followed

Silver: event 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC, down move -2.86%, magnitude 6.1, ATR(24) 0.68%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
6.1M
very rare
Silver ▼ Fall
Metals · largest in 49 d · 4.2×ATR
#81 hourly move of Silver in 2 years
-2.86%
hour Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · 63.54
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 359 hstop hitfavourable 1.8 ATR · against 7.2 ATR

Retraced after 7 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 335 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

No rush: in 78% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (64.45).

In 78% of similar cases the price pulled up to 64.45 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (49% vs 35%).

normal hour 0.68%this movement 2.86%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 63.54
Stop64.84 (+2.04%) 3 ATRhit in 35% of similar cases
No reliable target62.68 (−1.36%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 49% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.68% ≈ 0.43. History: 226 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop63.97 (+0.68%)1 ATR83%
Stop64.40 (+1.36%)2 ATR53%
Stop64.84 (+2.04%)3 ATR35%
Stop65.27 (+2.72%)4 ATR17%
Stop66.13 (+4.08%)6 ATR6%
Target62.68 (−1.36%)2 ATR49%
Target62.24 (−2.04%)3 ATR37%
Target61.81 (−2.72%)4 ATR26%
Target60.95 (−4.08%)6 ATR15%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00185 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 1.30 (2.04%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
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Statistics, not advice. Your risk.

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Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.