USDJPY fell 0.21% in one hour on 17/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 17/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC, down move -0.21%, magnitude 2.2, ATR(24) 0.16%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
2.2M
noticeableUSDJPY ▼ Fall
Forex · largest in 1 d · 1.3×ATR
#710 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
-0.21%
hour Thu 17/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC · 155.70
Elapsed 349 hstop hitfavourable 1.6 ATR · against 6.4 ATR
Retraced after 3 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 70% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (155.87).
In 70% of similar cases the price pulled up to 155.87 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (48% vs 23%).
normal hour 0.16%this movement 0.21%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 155.70
Stop156.71 (+0.65%) 4 ATRhit in 23% of similar cases
No reliable target155.20 (−0.32%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 48% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.16% ≈ 0.25. History: 124 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 155.96 (+0.16%) | 1 ATR | 76% |
| Stop | 156.21 (+0.32%) | 2 ATR | 60% |
| Stop | 156.46 (+0.49%) | 3 ATR | 43% |
| Stop | 156.71 (+0.65%) | 4 ATR | 23% |
| Stop | 157.22 (+0.97%) | 6 ATR | 5% |
| Target | 155.20 (−0.32%) | 2 ATR | 48% |
| Target | 154.94 (−0.49%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Target | 154.69 (−0.65%) | 4 ATR | 27% |
| Target | 154.19 (−0.97%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0187 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 1.01 (0.65%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Wed 30/09, 01:00–02:00 UTC · -0.23% · M 2.4 Retraced after 3 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 29/09, 10:00–11:00 UTC · -0.30% · M 4.5 Retraced after 3 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 18/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · -0.27% · M 1.8 retrace unconfirmed, stop 4 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 6/24 h, last candle 310 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Wed 09/09, 11:00–12:00 UTC · -0.21% · M 1.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 08/09, 01:00–02:00 UTC · -0.29% · M 2.5 Retraced after 3 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.