USDJPY rose 0.60% in one hour on 16/09/2026 — what followed
USDJPY: event 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC, up move +0.60%, magnitude 4.7, ATR(24) 0.14%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.7M
rareUSDJPY ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 9 d · 4.2×ATR
#28 hourly move of USDJPY in 2 years
+0.60%
hour Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · 155.92
Elapsed 359 htarget reached in hour 2favourable 2.2 ATR · against 2.9 ATR
Retraced after 18 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
No rush: in 67% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (155.45).
In 67% of similar cases the price pulled down to 155.45 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target and the 3 ATR stop were reached about equally often (39% / 37%).
normal hour 0.14%this movement 0.60%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 155.92
Stop155.26 (−0.43%) 3 ATRhit in 37% of similar cases
No reliable target156.36 (+0.28%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 39% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.14% ≈ 0.22. History: 84 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 155.70 (−0.14%) | 1 ATR | 75% |
| Stop | 155.48 (−0.28%) | 2 ATR | 60% |
| Stop | 155.26 (−0.43%) | 3 ATR | 37% |
| Stop | 155.04 (−0.57%) | 4 ATR | 21% |
| Stop | 154.59 (−0.85%) | 6 ATR | 6% |
| Target | 156.36 (+0.28%) | 2 ATR | 39% |
| Target | 156.59 (+0.43%) | 3 ATR | 26% |
| Target | 156.81 (+0.57%) | 4 ATR | 15% |
| Target | 157.25 (+0.85%) | 6 ATR | 5% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0285 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.66 (0.43%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Mon 28/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · +0.26% · M 3.7 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 18/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC · +0.40% · M 3.2 Retraced after 7 h, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 13/24 h, last candle 309 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Fri 18/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · +0.27% · M 3.0 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR unconfirmed, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 18/24 h, last candle 309 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
- Wed 09/09, 08:00–09:00 UTC · +0.35% · M 2.4 Retraced after 3 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 08/09, 06:00–07:00 UTC · +0.30% · M 2.7 Retraced after 12 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.