SOL fell 2.26% in one hour on 20/09/2026 — what followed
SOL: event 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC, down move -2.26%, magnitude 3.2, ATR(24) 0.81%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
3.2M
rareSOL ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 2 d · 2.8×ATR
#387 hourly move of SOL in 2 years
-2.26%
hour Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · 107.67
Elapsed 279 hstop hitfavourable 0.3 ATR · against 6.6 ATR
Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 74% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (108.89).
In 74% of similar cases the price pulled up to 108.89 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (52% vs 28%).
normal hour 0.81%this movement 2.26%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 107.67
Stop111.16 (+3.24%) 4 ATRhit in 28% of similar cases
Target105.93 (−1.62%) 2 ATRreached in 52% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.81% ≈ 0.87. History: 181 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 108.54 (+0.81%) | 1 ATR | 78% |
| Stop | 109.41 (+1.62%) | 2 ATR | 55% |
| Stop | 110.29 (+2.43%) | 3 ATR | 42% |
| Stop | 111.16 (+3.24%) | 4 ATR | 28% |
| Stop | 112.90 (+4.86%) | 6 ATR | 8% |
| Target | 105.93 (−1.62%) | 2 ATR | 52% |
| Target | 105.05 (−2.43%) | 3 ATR | 39% |
| Target | 104.18 (−3.24%) | 4 ATR | 28% |
| Target | 102.44 (−4.86%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 3.44 SOL, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 3.49 (3.24%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Tue 15/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -2.01% · M 4.0 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Thu 10/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -2.05% · M 4.3 Retraced after 2 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -2.40% · M 2.7 Retraced after 21 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.