SOL fell 2.05% in one hour on 10/09/2026 — what followed
SOL: event 10/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, down move -2.05%, magnitude 4.3, ATR(24) 0.94%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.3M
rareSOL ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 6 d · 2.2×ATR
#522 hourly move of SOL in 2 years
-2.05%
hour Thu 10/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 98.94
Elapsed 509 hretraced to the midpoint after 2 h — planned entryfavourable 1.0 ATR · against 3.1 ATR
Retraced after 2 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 74% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (99.95).
In 74% of similar cases the price pulled up to 99.95 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 4 ATR stop (53% vs 31%).
normal hour 0.94%this movement 2.05%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 98.94
Stop102.66 (+3.76%) 4 ATRhit in 31% of similar cases
Target97.08 (−1.88%) 2 ATRreached in 53% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.94% ≈ 0.93. History: 177 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 99.87 (+0.94%) | 1 ATR | 78% |
| Stop | 100.80 (+1.88%) | 2 ATR | 56% |
| Stop | 101.73 (+2.82%) | 3 ATR | 43% |
| Stop | 102.66 (+3.76%) | 4 ATR | 31% |
| Stop | 104.52 (+5.64%) | 6 ATR | 9% |
| Target | 97.08 (−1.88%) | 2 ATR | 53% |
| Target | 96.15 (−2.82%) | 3 ATR | 41% |
| Target | 95.22 (−3.76%) | 4 ATR | 29% |
| Target | 93.36 (−5.64%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 3.22 SOL, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 3.72 (3.76%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · -2.26% · M 3.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 4 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Tue 15/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -2.01% · M 4.0 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -2.40% · M 2.7 Retraced after 21 h, stop 4 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.