SOL rose 3.27% in one hour on 03/09/2026 — what followed

SOL: event 03/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC, up move +3.27%, magnitude 4.9, ATR(24) 0.99%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
4.9M
rare
SOL ▲ Rise
Crypto · largest in 12 d · 3.3×ATR
#123 hourly move of SOL in 2 years
+3.27%
hour Thu 03/09, 14:00–15:00 UTC · 104.81
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 675 hstop hitfavourable 1.1 ATR · against 4.4 ATR

Retraced after 22 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.

No rush: in 68% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (103.10).

In 68% of similar cases the price pulled down to 103.10 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (56% vs 34%).

normal hour 0.99%this movement 3.27%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 104.81
Stop101.69 (−2.98%) 3 ATRhit in 34% of similar cases
Target106.89 (+1.99%) 2 ATRreached in 56% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.99% ≈ 1.04. History: 160 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop103.77 (−0.99%)1 ATR74%
Stop102.73 (−1.99%)2 ATR50%
Stop101.69 (−2.98%)3 ATR34%
Stop100.65 (−3.97%)4 ATR26%
Stop98.56 (−5.96%)6 ATR6%
Target106.89 (+1.99%)2 ATR56%
Target107.93 (+2.98%)3 ATR37%
Target108.97 (+3.97%)4 ATR23%
Target111.06 (+5.96%)6 ATR11%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 3.83 SOL, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 3.12 (2.98%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.