ETH fell 1.21% in one hour on 01/10/2026 — what followed
ETH: event 01/10, 07:00–08:00 UTC, down move -1.21%, magnitude 2.6, ATR(24) 0.69%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcome
2.6M
noticeableETH ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 1 d · 1.8×ATR
#1272 hourly move of ETH in 2 years
-1.21%
hour 07:00–08:00 UTC · 2,682
Elapsed 10 hretraced to the midpoint after 2 h — planned entryThe provider later revised ETH data for this hour; this card shows the values at publication, as in Telegram.favourable 0.5 ATR · against 1.7 ATR
Observation continues; result after 24 h.
No rush: in 68% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (2,698).
In 68% of similar cases the price pulled up to 2,698 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (54% vs 37%).
normal hour 0.69%this movement 1.21%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 2,682
Stop2,738 (+2.07%) 3 ATRhit in 37% of similar cases
Target2,645 (−1.38%) 2 ATRreached in 54% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.69% ≈ 19. History: 199 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 2,701 (+0.69%) | 1 ATR | 76% |
| Stop | 2,719 (+1.38%) | 2 ATR | 53% |
| Stop | 2,738 (+2.07%) | 3 ATR | 37% |
| Stop | 2,756 (+2.77%) | 4 ATR | 25% |
| Stop | 2,794 (+4.15%) | 6 ATR | 12% |
| Target | 2,645 (−1.38%) | 2 ATR | 54% |
| Target | 2,627 (−2.07%) | 3 ATR | 37% |
| Target | 2,608 (−2.77%) | 4 ATR | 30% |
| Target | 2,571 (−4.15%) | 6 ATR | 17% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.215 ETH, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 56 (2.07%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · -1.74% · M 3.2 Retraced after 13 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Thu 10/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -1.92% · M 4.3 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -2.85% · M 5.0 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.