ETH fell 2.85% in one hour on 04/09/2026 — what followed
ETH: event 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, down move -2.85%, magnitude 5.0, ATR(24) 0.96%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
5.0M
very rareETH ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 13 d · 3×ATR
#136 hourly move of ETH in 2 years
-2.85%
hour Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 2,451
Elapsed 653 hmoved without retracingfavourable 0.8 ATR · against 0.6 ATR
Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 70% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (2,486).
In 70% of similar cases the price pulled up to 2,486 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (52% vs 39%).
normal hour 0.96%this movement 2.85%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 2,451
Stop2,522 (+2.89%) 3 ATRhit in 39% of similar cases
Target2,404 (−1.92%) 2 ATRreached in 52% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.96% ≈ 24. History: 208 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 2,475 (+0.96%) | 1 ATR | 78% |
| Stop | 2,498 (+1.92%) | 2 ATR | 56% |
| Stop | 2,522 (+2.89%) | 3 ATR | 39% |
| Stop | 2,546 (+3.85%) | 4 ATR | 26% |
| Stop | 2,593 (+5.77%) | 6 ATR | 12% |
| Target | 2,404 (−1.92%) | 2 ATR | 52% |
| Target | 2,381 (−2.89%) | 3 ATR | 36% |
| Target | 2,357 (−3.85%) | 4 ATR | 30% |
| Target | 2,310 (−5.77%) | 6 ATR | 17% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.169 ETH, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 71 (2.89%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- 07:00–08:00 UTC · -1.21% · M 2.6 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
- Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · -1.74% · M 3.2 Retraced after 13 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Thu 10/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -1.92% · M 4.3 Retraced after 2 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.