DOGE fell 1.96% in one hour on 22/09/2026 — what followed
DOGE: event 22/09, 04:00–05:00 UTC, down move -1.96%, magnitude 0.6, ATR(24) 2.59%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
0.6M
noticeableDOGE ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 1 d · 0.8×ATR
#875 hourly move of DOGE in 2 years
-1.96%
hour Tue 22/09, 04:00–05:00 UTC · 0.0999
Elapsed 230 hretraced to the midpoint after 9 h — planned entryfavourable 1.1 ATR · against 1.7 ATR
Retraced after 9 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 72% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (0.1009).
In 72% of similar cases the price pulled up to 0.1009 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (49% vs 34%).
normal hour 2.59%this movement 1.96%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 0.0999
Stop0.1077 (+7.76%) 3 ATRhit in 34% of similar cases
No reliable target0.0948 (−5.17%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 49% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 2.59% ≈ 0.0026. History: 132 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 0.1025 (+2.59%) | 1 ATR | 76% |
| Stop | 0.1051 (+5.17%) | 2 ATR | 51% |
| Stop | 0.1077 (+7.76%) | 3 ATR | 34% |
| Stop | 0.1103 (+10.35%) | 4 ATR | 25% |
| Stop | 0.1154 (+15.52%) | 6 ATR | 11% |
| Target | 0.0948 (−5.17%) | 2 ATR | 49% |
| Target | 0.0922 (−7.76%) | 3 ATR | 35% |
| Target | 0.0896 (−10.35%) | 4 ATR | 24% |
| Target | 0.0844 (−15.52%) | 6 ATR | 13% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 1,540 DOGE, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0078 (7.76%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- 07:00–08:00 UTC · -1.57% · M 3.2 Observation continues; result after 24 h.
- Wed 23/09, 05:00–06:00 UTC · -2.08% · M 2.9 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Sun 20/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · -2.04% · M 3.2 Retraced after 14 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR not reached.
- Sat 05/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -2.57% · M 0.6 Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.
- Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · -3.13% · M 2.7 Retraced after 24 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.