DOGE fell 2.57% in one hour on 05/09/2026 — what followed

DOGE: event 05/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC, down move -2.57%, magnitude 0.6, ATR(24) 1.13%.

Updated

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
0.6M
noticeable
DOGE ▼ Fall
Crypto · largest in 1 d · 2.3×ATR
#442 hourly move of DOGE in 2 years
-2.57%
hour Sat 05/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · 0.0918
stopmidpointtargetentry
Elapsed 624 htarget reached in hour 5favourable 4.0 ATR · against 0.2 ATR

Did not retrace to the midpoint, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR reached.

No rush: in 76% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (0.0930).

In 76% of similar cases the price pulled up to 0.0930 within the next 12 h, usually within 2 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (46% vs 37%).

normal hour 1.13%this movement 2.57%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 0.0918
Stop0.0949 (+3.39%) 3 ATRhit in 37% of similar cases
No reliable target0.0897 (−2.26%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 46% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 1.13% ≈ 0.0010. History: 140 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
LevelPrice and %RangeProbability
Stop0.0928 (+1.13%)1 ATR77%
Stop0.0939 (+2.26%)2 ATR54%
Stop0.0949 (+3.39%)3 ATR37%
Stop0.0960 (+4.52%)4 ATR27%
Stop0.0980 (+6.78%)6 ATR14%
Target0.0897 (−2.26%)2 ATR46%
Target0.0887 (−3.39%)3 ATR32%
Target0.0877 (−4.52%)4 ATR22%
Target0.0856 (−6.78%)6 ATR11%
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 3,850 DOGE, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0031 (3.39%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.