Gold rose 1.05% in one hour on 02/10/2026 — what followed

Gold: event 02/10, 02:00–03:00 UTC, up move +1.05%, magnitude 4.8, ATR(24) 0.46%.

Updated 03/10/2026, 03:00 UTC

Recorded event and its outcomecompleted

4.8M

rare

Gold ▲ Rise

Gold · largest in 11 d · 2.3×ATR

+1.05%

hour Fri 02/10, 02:00–03:00 UTC · 4,195

Elapsed 38 hstop hitThe provider is not returning the Gold candle; the publication snapshot is preserved.favourable 1.7 ATR · against 3.7 ATR

Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 18/24 h, last candle 20 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

No rush: in 74% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (4,173).

In 74% of similar cases the price pulled down to 4,173 within 12 closed H1 candles, usually within 2 closed H1 candles. Over 24 closed H1 candles the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (49% vs 33%).

normal hour 0.46%this movement 1.05%

Levels from statistics · after an up move from 4,195

Stop4,138 (−1.37%) 3 ATRhit in 33% of similar cases

No reliable target4,233 (+0.91%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 49% of similar cases

ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.46% ≈ 19. History: Legacy snapshot: windows of 12/24 closed H1 candles, n=197; calendar coverage unknown.

Other stops and targets

Level	Price and %	Range	Probability
Stop	4,176 (−0.46%)	1 ATR	76%
Stop	4,157 (−0.91%)	2 ATR	51%
Stop	4,138 (−1.37%)	3 ATR	33%
Stop	4,118 (−1.82%)	4 ATR	22%
Stop	4,080 (−2.74%)	6 ATR	14%
Target	4,233 (+0.91%)	2 ATR	49%
Target	4,252 (+1.37%)	3 ATR	30%
Target	4,272 (+1.82%)	4 ATR	20%
Target	4,310 (+2.74%)	6 ATR	8%

Position size

Account currencyAccount, ₽Risk per trade, %

At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.00208 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 57 (1.37%).

Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.

Similar moves

Thu 01/10, 17:00–18:00 UTC · +0.93% · M 3.8 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 23 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Thu 01/10, 04:00–05:00 UTC · +0.82% · M 3.6 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 36 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Wed 30/09, 07:00–08:00 UTC · +0.83% · M 3.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 57 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Wed 30/09, 04:00–05:00 UTC · +0.93% · M 3.2 Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR unconfirmed. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 60 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.
Wed 16/09, 02:00–03:00 UTC · +0.93% · M 3.4 Retraced after 16 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached. Data: 23/24 h, last candle 398 h ago; the rest is unconfirmed.

Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.