PAXG fell 1.52% in one hour on 04/09/2026 — what followed
PAXG: event 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC, down move -1.52%, magnitude 5.2, ATR(24) 0.38%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcomecompleted
5.2M
very rarePAXG ▼ Fall
Gold · largest in 16 d · 4×ATR
#51 hourly move of PAXG in 2 years
-1.52%
hour Fri 04/09, 12:00–13:00 UTC · 4,401
Elapsed 653 hretraced to the midpoint after 1 h — planned entryfavourable 1.5 ATR · against 2.9 ATR
Retraced after 1 h, stop 3 ATR survived, target 2 ATR not reached.
No rush: in 78% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (4,434).
In 78% of similar cases the price pulled up to 4,434 within the next 12 h, usually within 1 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (44% vs 32%).
normal hour 0.38%this movement 1.52%
Levels from statistics · after a down move from 4,401
Stop4,451 (+1.14%) 3 ATRhit in 32% of similar cases
No reliable target4,367 (−0.76%) 2 ATRthe nearest target was reached in only 44% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.38% ≈ 17. History: 288 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 4,417 (+0.38%) | 1 ATR | 73% |
| Stop | 4,434 (+0.76%) | 2 ATR | 50% |
| Stop | 4,451 (+1.14%) | 3 ATR | 32% |
| Stop | 4,468 (+1.52%) | 4 ATR | 21% |
| Stop | 4,501 (+2.29%) | 6 ATR | 8% |
| Target | 4,367 (−0.76%) | 2 ATR | 44% |
| Target | 4,350 (−1.14%) | 3 ATR | 34% |
| Target | 4,334 (−1.52%) | 4 ATR | 25% |
| Target | 4,300 (−2.29%) | 6 ATR | 14% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.238 PAXG, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 50 (1.14%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Similar moves
- Wed 16/09, 18:00–19:00 UTC · -2.07% · M 7.2 Retraced after 7 h, stop 3 ATR hit, target 2 ATR reached.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.