GBPUSD rose 0.20% in one hour on 01/10/2026 — what followed
GBPUSD: event 01/10, 10:00–11:00 UTC, up move +0.20%, magnitude 1.2, ATR(24) 0.11%.
Updated
Recorded event and its outcome
1.2M
noticeableGBPUSD ▲ Rise
Forex · largest in 1 d · 1.7×ATR
#508 hourly move of GBPUSD in 2 years
+0.20%
hour 10:00–11:00 UTC · 1.3226
Elapsed 7 hretraced to the midpoint after 1 h — planned entryThe provider later revised GBPUSD data for this hour; this card shows the values at publication, as in Telegram.favourable 1.6 ATR · against 3.0 ATR
Observation continues; result after 24 h.
No rush: in 61% of similar cases the price returned to the midpoint of the move (1.3213).
In 61% of similar cases the price pulled down to 1.3213 within the next 12 h, usually within 3 h. Over 24 h the 2 ATR target was reached more often than the 3 ATR stop (51% vs 34%).
normal hour 0.11%this movement 0.20%
Levels from statistics · after an up move from 1.3226
Stop1.3181 (−0.34%) 3 ATRhit in 34% of similar cases
Target1.3256 (+0.23%) 2 ATRreached in 51% of similar cases
ATR is the normal hourly range; now 0.11% ≈ 0.0015. History: 119 similar movements, without lookahead.
Other stops and targets
| Level | Price and % | Range | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stop | 1.3211 (−0.11%) | 1 ATR | 74% |
| Stop | 1.3196 (−0.23%) | 2 ATR | 48% |
| Stop | 1.3181 (−0.34%) | 3 ATR | 34% |
| Stop | 1.3167 (−0.45%) | 4 ATR | 23% |
| Stop | 1.3137 (−0.68%) | 6 ATR | 3% |
| Target | 1.3256 (+0.23%) | 2 ATR | 51% |
| Target | 1.3271 (+0.34%) | 3 ATR | 30% |
| Target | 1.3286 (+0.45%) | 4 ATR | 19% |
| Target | 1.3316 (+0.68%) | 6 ATR | 9% |
Position size
At 1% risk of 100,000 ₽ — size ≈ 0.0267 lots, stop loss 1,000 ₽, distance to the stop 0.0045 (0.34%).
Volume calculated from your account and risk inputs. Not a recommendation.
Market Magnitude shows statistics of past hourly moves computed on closed candles. It is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, financial or trading advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trading involves substantial risk of loss; you make all decisions independently.